I will post predictions for the rest of the month in the next few days. In the meantime, here are predictions for Tue-Thur. [Calculations are for NYC, times are in EST; by “market” I mean mainly DJI and entities with similar trading pattern.]
July 1 (Tue): Weak influence; market may possibly go up (55%). There may be an announcement related to a female leader right at or shortly before opening. If so, it will probably be of positive nature and potentially related to sales or telecommunications. Alternatively, there may be a brief announcement about investors’ mood toward gold (probably also positive).
USA: On July 1-3, esp. July 3, there is an increased likelihood of news related to healthcare, spying/hidden issues, secrets, initiatives/programs ending, prisons, support for elderly (e.g., Medicare and Social Security), drugs, and/or leaders passing away. For example, secret activities may be revealed (e.g., about spying or financial info), or, more financial support is allocated to a program that supports healthcare and/or elderly, or, a law is passed related to financing of businesses that sell drugs, etc.
Moreover, in the US, issues related to loans, debt, taxes, interest, insurance, and savings will be in greater focus this week, with a push toward expansion of the US debt and/or taxes. This push may be somehow in opposition to or not helpful with solving money availability/cash flow issues at the banks (debt/taxes are likely to increase, which may somehow hinder accumulation of cash by banks or devalue existing savings). Also, changes related to lending rates, taxes, US credit as a country, amount of the country’s debt, etc. may trigger changes in how financial institutions go about accumulating money and whether they transparently share their financial situation. For example, banks may release previously hidden financial info (e.g., identities of account holders), or, conversely, banks may start hiding more info as a way to increase their savings.
The influence this week affecting US financial institutions is similar to that in July 2002, when there was a push for greater financial transparency (e.g., http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sarbanes-Oxley_Act)
July 2 (Wed): Weak-medium influence; market may possibly go down (55-60%). There may be anxious mood and negative or vague/deceptive news shortly before or right at the open, which will probably manifest as a drop early am. The market may recover following the early morning drop, however.
There may also be concerns over or opposition to governmental decisions/regulations of banks or some domestic issues, such as food supply and real estate in late afternoon of July 2 and especially on July 3. This may bring the market down yet again.
July 3 (Thur): Medium influence; market may possibly go down (55-60%).