Reflection on previous predictions for 2012

An article by Tom Bemis from MarketWatch.com published on July 6, 2012 names “The S&P 500′s 13 worst days in 2012” (http://blogs.marketwatch.com/thetell/2012/07/06/the-sp-500s-13-worst-days-in-2012/). For fun, let’s compare the dates with previously posted predictions.

S&P 500 ‘s worst days in 2012:

-2.46%        6/01/2012          (1)

-2.23%        6/21/2012          (2)

-1.71%        4/10/2012           (3)

-1.61%        5/04/2012          (4)

-1.60%        6/25/2012          (5)

-1.54%        3/06/2012          (6)

-1.51%        5/17/2012            (7)

-1.43%        5/30/2012          (8)

-1.26%        6/11/2012           (9)

-1.25%        4/13/2012         (10)

-1.14%        4/09/2012         (11)

-1.11%        5/14/2012          (12)

-1.02%        4/04/2012        (13)

 

❶ 6/01/2012

June 1 (Fr): Weak influence, market will possibly be going up. Could be a brief respite & good news day; at least, some increased talk about money—this may increase hope about more $ coming in.

June 4 (Mon): Weak-medium influence, market will likely be going down. Rather busy at the opening—possibly opens at a low (lower then closed on Fr). There could be some news on Sun eve that are rational and make everyone aware of how things “really” are—practical approach/attitude prevails over “rose-colored sunglasses.”

Comment: Clearly, 6/01/2012 was not an up day; however, I did expect a down move before Mon open, due to a nega aspect becoming exact on Sun. It appears that Sun aspect’s effect was the strongest on the trading day immediately preceding the exact configuration. In other words, the power of the aspect was stronger as the planets were approaching the configuration on Fr, than as they were separating, on Mon. I find that the influence is the strongest within 1 to .5 degrees, especially as the planets are approaching the aspect.

❷ 6/21/2012

June 20 (Wed): Strong influence, am fairly certain that market will be going down. Some negative news likely—practical/realistic thinking over “rose-colored glasses.” Although, the market may possibly go up at the end of the day.

June 21 (Thur): Medium-strong influence, am fairly certain that market will be going down.

❸ 4/10/2012

No prediction (didn’t post Q2 predictions until 4-10-12).

❹ 5/04/2012

No prediction for May 4 (Fr).

May 7 (Mon): Weak influence, market possibly going down. On May 5 (Sat), there could be some sad news or news about lack/restrictions, unsuccessful communications. This news may possibly influence the market on Mon, but it’s also possible that the influence will dissipate by then.

Comment: Again, as in bullet 1, it looks like the Sat aspect’s effect was the strongest on Fr, the trading day immediately preceding the exact configuration.

❺ 6/25/2012

June 25 (Mon): Strong influence, am fairly certain that market will be going down, probably influenced by [likely continuing] events from June 24.

❻ 3/06/2012

No prediction for March 6 (Tue).

March 2-5 (Fr-Mon): Low, reversal up (the next trading day). Likely some news will be expected on Fr—confirmed over the weekend (possibly upsetting and/or news that instill fear about restrictions/lack of money or not enough progress, etc.)—and may end up sending market even lower on Mon.

❼ 5/17/2012

No prediction for May 17 (Thur).

May 16 (Wed): Medium-strong influence, am pretty sure the market will be going down/reach a low.

❽ 5/30/2012

May 30 (Wed): Weak-medium influence, am pretty sure the market will be going down. There could be some upsetting news, unresolved argument/fight, someone can’t work together/not reaching partnership agreement.

❾ 6/11/2012

June 11 (Mon): Strong influence, am fairly certain that market will be going down. Looks like some bad news, distress.

❿ 4/13/2012

No prediction for April 13 (Fr).

April 16 (Mon): Weak influence, market likely going down, especially pm. There could be some negative news on Sun (Apr 15) —if so, some harsh realizations may dampen the mood on Mon morning.

Comment: Again, as in bullet 1, it looks like the Sun aspect’s effect was the strongest on Fr, the trading day immediately preceding the exact configuration.

❶❶ 4/09/2012

No prediction (didn’t post Q2 predictions until 4-10-12).

❶❷ 5/14/2012

May 14 (Mon): Weak influence, market possibly going up am, then down pm. On Sun (May 13), there could be some positive news coming out that will inspire optimism and could spill over into Mon morning, supporting an up move.

❶❸ 4/04/2012

No prediction (didn’t post Q2 predictions until 4-10-12).

Advertisements

About tolstunka

Just very very talented... what can I do? :) Recently learned that my nakshatra is Purva Phalguni, in case you were wondering...
This entry was posted in Reviews and tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s